Updated @ 9:02 PM
Well, it doesn't look like the winds are switching fast enough, as there are only low densities of birds seen taking flight on the Binghamton and Albany, New York radars. Central Pennsylvania is showing a sronger signal and it appears to be heading ESE, which could influence some birding in New Jersey tomorrow, but as I said, it's not a big push thus far. The forecast remains the same for south of New Jersey, as high densities of birds are showing up on all radars for the Southeast coastal states.

Previous Forecast

Well, so much for two nights of southerly winds...I guess we 'll just have to settle for last night. That 's all tongue-in-cheek of course, since we 're all waiting anxiously for the next push of birds.

The Northeast to Mid-Atlantic

A dry cold front will move across our area tonight, pushing high pressure out to sea. The front is quite weak, meaning that the gradient along the front should not produce strong southerly winds as the last few have. The front is also expected to stretch horizontally across the region, meaning that the winds that are along the leading edge will be blowing from the west rather than the southwest.

Looking to the north, where birds will be coming from, the winds at 3000 feet are forecast to be from the northwest at 15kts by 8:00pm. Since most land birds (such as warblers, orioles, tanagers, etc.) migrate between 1,000 and 3,000 feet above the earth 's surface, and will actively move within the atmosphere to take advantage of better winds, this could result in a big push of new birds into the area by morning. Not only that, but if the local winds are from the west, we 'll have a good chance for high densities of birds at coastal locations.

Points south of New Jersey

For points south of New Jersey along the Eastern Flyway, the winds are forecast to be northwest inland, and northeast at the coast, maintaining a good flow for migration all the way down through Florida.



Good Birding

David
www.woodcreeper.com