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Migration Weather Forecast
High pressure over the region will move out to sea tonight, allowing the return of southerly flow for Sunday and Monday nights in advance of the next cold front. On Tuesday afternoon a strong cold front will move across the region and northwest winds will build in behind it, reducing the probability of migration through the rest of the week.
Sunday Night
Light south winds are forecast for Sunday night. Couple this with a clear starry sky, and you can begin to imagine the sound of thrushes calling overhead. Expect a good push of migrants into and over the mid-Atlantic on Sunday night.
Monday Night
South winds will persist through Monday night, possibly taking a more southwesterly trajectory depending on the orientation of the approaching cold front. Clouds will build in on Monday night, but the chance of precipitation is quite low. Expect another night of heavy migration on Monday.
Tuesday Night
The cold front will pass to our east on Tuesday afternoon, and high pressure will build in behind it with 10-15mph northwest winds. Expect winds to shut down migration for Tuesday night.
Wednesday Night
So far the forecast is calling for a continuation of moderate northerly winds, so I'm not expecting much in terms of migration on Wednesday night. That said, we've recently seen several nights where winds were light northwesterly, and birds took advantage of the relatively stable atmosphere despite the headwind. We'll have to keep an eye on conditions to see if this happens again on Wednesday.
Birding Forecast
Memorial Day
Birding conditions should be good on Monday, with a new influx of birds making their way into the region. Without any weather to concentrate migrants, expect spring migrant hotspots to possess the best birding conditions.
Tuesday Morning
After another night of migration, birding conditions on Tuesday morning should be very good. The forecast is calling for thunderstorms, but this could play into your favor if you target locations of heavy rain in the early-morning. While not "fallout" material, heavy rain will still tend to concentrate birds... so get an umbrella and check the radar before heading out.
Wednesday Morning
Beautiful clear skies and mild temperatures will grace the region on Wednesday morning. While no new birds are expected, after two nights of good migration and no birds leaving, Wednesday morning is looking like a fine day to bird!
Thursday Morning
It's possible that we could see a small movement of birds on Wednesday night, but I'm reluctant to say so right now. Either way, the birding conditions should remain quite nice for the same reasons as Wednesday morning.
As always, to find more information on what's being seen TODAY in Cape May, check out the View From the Cape, on BirdCapeMay.org
Good Birding,
David La Puma
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