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Migration Weather Forecast
High pressure dominating the region is maintaining an east/northeasterly flow, allowing for a few nights of heavy to moderate migration. A cold front will be approaching from the west by the end of the week which will initially result in a southwesterly flow. This change in winds will reduce the chance of migration by the weekend, but the passing cold front will mean strong northwesterly flow soon thereafter. I'll post an updated forecast on Saturday to take you through the long weekend, but as of right now it's looking like a well-timed day off of work!
Tuesday Night
High pressure dominating the region will bring east winds on Tuesday night, while upper level winds will remain out of the northeast. This, coupled with clear evening skies, will trigger moderate to heavy migration over the mid-Atlantic.
Wednesday & Thursday Nights
For Wednesday and Thursday nights expect winds at all elevations to turn easterly, and the probability of heavy migration to decrease. Still, conditions will remain favorable for moderate levels of migration over the mid-Atlantic.
Friday Night
By Friday night winds should turn southerly, as high pressure has dissipated and a cold front approaches from the west. We may get some precipitation from the remnants of tropical storm Fay, but the timing will not coincide with nocturnal migration. Looking ahead, expect a cold front to move through on Saturday, setting us up for some heavy migration into the weekend and early next week.
Birding Forecast
Wednesday Morning
With easterly flow across the mid-Atlantic on Tuesday night, and the chance for heavy migration, expect a good push of new birds into the region with birds dispersed widely across the landscape. As for birding locations, head inland as birds will have been pushed westward. Coastal locations could appear barren in comparison, so choose wisely!
Thursday & Friday Morning
More east winds and moderate levels of migration should keep birds moving through the mid-Atlantic region. Again, these conditions favor inland locations, and the absence of any major weather to concentrate birds means that the best birding locations will be those tried and true fall migration hotspots.
Saturday Morning
South winds are on deck for Friday night, and no migration is expected. Birds will still be around from the recent week of migration, and inland sites will be your best bet.
As always, to find more information on what's being seen TODAY in Cape May, check out the View From the Cape, on BirdCapeMay.org
Good Birding,
David La Puma
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