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Migration Weather Forecast
"One [front] gone and another to go, my old buddy you're moving much too slow"
A series of lows are forecast for the mid-Atlantic between mid-week and the end of the weekend, unfortunately, though, it looks as if the south winds necessary for a big flight will be absent until after the weekend.
Thursday Night Updated
While winds aloft are strong from the northeast, surface winds on Thursday night are light and southerly. This, in turn, has triggered some migration over the mid-Atlantic. Whether this will continue on Friday night remains to be seen, as winds are forecast to turn W at the surface and remain NW aloft.
Wednesday - Saturday Night
Low pressure will move from over our heads (where it is soaking us), offshore to our east, as high pressure builds in behind it with drier air from the northwest. The key show-stopper here is the northwest wind. Expect no significant migration events during this time period. Looking ahead, there is another low pressure system forecast to reach our area on Sunday or Monday, which will bring with it the first southerly winds and undoubtedly a big influx of birds... stay tuned!
Birding Forecast
Friday Morning Updated
Since the winds are blowing out of the southeast on Thursday night, expect inland migrant traps to experience the greatest influx of new birds on Friday. Garret Mountain as well as hotspots along both sides of the Delaware River, look promising for tomorrow, and the weather will be beautiful for getting out there and seeing what shows up.
Thursday - Sunday Morning
The birding conditions will remain stable for the next few days, as no birds are expected to leave or arrive given the weather forecast. As far as comfort is concerned, the dreary weather will clear out of here by late tonight, making way for some gorgeously sunny days in the 60's and maybe even 70's on Friday and Saturday. This is an excellent time to brush up on your birding-by-ear skills. While the woods are full of more common species, getting in there pre-dawn can be a wonderful experience and allow you to study bird song in all of its variation. Besides, by this time next week we'll have several more species joining the woodland ensemble!
You can follow me on Twitter, using the link at the top of this page, and find out what's being seen today in Cape May by checking out the View From the Cape, on BirdCapeMay.org
Good Birding,
David La Puma
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